WS #10336

From 500 msgs · 4 key-dev

No material new developments in the last 30 minutes. The dominant signals from the previous window—US-Iran escalation and UK political crisis—remain unchanged with no new data points or counter-signals. The narrative arc is STABLE.

Topics

Key developments

  • Trump threatens to hit Iran 'very hard again' and take 20% of oil through Strait of Hormuz
  • UK PM Keir Starmer close to stepping down - multiple sources
  • UKMTO reports armed boarding attempt off Yemen - maritime security threat
  • US-Iran talks open in Switzerland amid Hormuz shutdown