WS #10972

The dominant narrative remains the US-Iran conflict, but this window contains no genuinely new developments. The previous synthesis already covered the escalation (Iran striking a tanker, US retaliation, ceasefire collapse, oil price jump, Polymarket odds shift). No counter-signals, de-escalation statements, or non-dominant-narrative developments have emerged in the last 30 minutes. Conditions are stable relative to the prior window.