WS #12141

From 500 msgs · 10 key-dev

No material new developments in the last 30 minutes. The US-Iran conflict narrative remains stable with no confirmed de-escalation or escalation. Tech sector continues under pressure from IBM's crash, with no new counter-signals. ASML's strong earnings and Anthropic's IPO progress remain unchanged from prior synthesis.

Topics

Key developments

  • US launches fourth night of strikes on Iran; Iran closes Strait of Hormuz and withdraws from MOU
  • Iran's Qalibaf: Armed forces have complete freedom of action; negotiation and war both part of strategy
  • IBM shares crash 25% on preliminary Q2 sales miss, dragging down hardware/IT services
  • Apple Intelligence receives regulatory approval in China via Alibaba Qwen models
  • Anthropic schedules IPO investor meetings; potential October listing
  • SpaceX shares fall below IPO price of $135 for first time
  • ASML plans price increase for chipmaking tools despite TSM resistance
  • Fed Governor Cook: risk of persistent inflation outweighs labor market weakness