WS #12270

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The global tech selloff is escalating sharply, with semiconductor stocks leading declines as AI capex return skepticism deepens. The selloff is widening beyond chips to major tech names, with S&P 500 futures down 0.8% and Nasdaq futures down 1.5% premarket. Netflix's weak Q3 guidance is adding pressure, with NFLX down ~10% premarket, and Intuitive Surgical is falling 11% on insurance change concerns. The selloff is spreading to Asia, with the Nikkei down 4% and KOSPI down over 6%. However, there are counter-signals: HSBC upgraded Apple to Buy, citing a strong cycle ahead, and Apple hit an all-time high. The US-Iran conflict is intensifying, with a sixth consecutive night of US strikes on Iran, Iranian bridges severely damaged, and Iran claiming attacks on US bases. Oil prices are elevated, with Strait of Hormuz transits dropping to just 3 vessels on Thursday. The EU proposed doubling the electrification rate by 2040, which could boost clean energy and grid infrastructure plays. On the earnings front, Fifth Third Bancorp trades higher on Comerica acquisition boost, Regions Financial beat, and State Street beat estimates. The UK political landscape shifted with Andy Burnham becoming Labour leader, paving the way to become PM on Monday. The dominant theme is an ESCALATING risk-off move in tech, but with pockets of strength in energy, financials, and select AI beneficiaries like Apple.

Topics

Key developments

  • Global tech selloff deepens: Nasdaq futures down 1.5%, Nikkei plunges 4%, KOSPI down 6% as semiconductor rout widens
  • Netflix premarket down ~10% after weak Q3 guidance; Pivotal Research cuts PT to $70
  • Intuitive Surgical falls 11% premarket after Q2 beat but warns insurance changes could slow US procedure growth; China remains a challenge
  • US-Iran conflict escalates: sixth night of US strikes on Iranian bridges and port towers; Iran retaliates with missiles on Jordan; Strait of Hormuz transits drop to near zero
  • Apple sues OpenAI for alleged misuse of confidential hardware information; potential injunctions could slow OpenAI's consumer hardware push
  • Andy Burnham becomes UK Labour leader, set to become PM on Monday; promises pro-business stance and less toxic discourse
  • Fifth Third Bancorp trades higher after Q2 beat boosted by Comerica acquisition; Regions Financial also beats on lower credit provisions
  • State Street beats Q2 estimates with record revenue of $4.0B, raises full-year outlook; pre-tax margin target of 35% by 2029