WS #15307

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Geopolitical risk is at a multi-year high with the US deploying a third carrier to the Middle East and a co-pilot allegedly plotting to crash a plane into Tel Aviv. This has triggered a complex energy market dynamic: while Brent crude remains elevated near $102 due to supply fears, Saudi Aramco is slashing official selling prices for Asia, widening discounts to the widest since 2020. Aramco's CEO warned that replenishing global stocks could take two years, signaling a severe structural deficit that offsets the short-term price suppression from IEA reserve releases.

Middle East Escalation and Energy Supply Shock

Geopolitical risk is at a multi-year high with the US deploying a third carrier to the Middle East and a co-pilot allegedly plotting to crash a plane into Tel Aviv. This has triggered a complex energy market dynamic: while Brent crude remains elevated near $102 due to supply fears, Saudi Aramco is slashing official selling prices for Asia, widening discounts to the widest since 2020. Aramco's CEO warned that replenishing global stocks could take two years, signaling a severe structural deficit that offsets the short-term price suppression from IEA reserve releases.

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