WS #15431

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Brent crude has broken above $101 per barrel following reports that Iran is intensifying assaults on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. Shipowners are now paying captains over $100,000 per month plus $50,000 in danger money to ensure safe passage, a cost that will inevitably be passed through to energy prices. This supply risk is driving a bifurcation in the market: energy stocks are rallying on higher realized prices, while airlines, shipping lines, and consumer discretionary stocks are suffering from rising input costs and geopolitical uncertainty.

Middle East Oil Supply Shock

Brent crude has broken above $101 per barrel following reports that Iran is intensifying assaults on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. Shipowners are now paying captains over $100,000 per month plus $50,000 in danger money to ensure safe passage, a cost that will inevitably be passed through to energy prices. This supply risk is driving a bifurcation in the market: energy stocks are rallying on higher realized prices, while airlines, shipping lines, and consumer discretionary stocks are suffering from rising input costs and geopolitical uncertainty.

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