WS #15535

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Escalating tensions in the Middle East have triggered a sharp rally in crude oil, with Brent crude climbing above $104 per barrell. This energy shock is feeding directly into inflation expectations, causing UK 10-year borrowing costs to spike to a 19-year high and forcing Wall Street and European indices lower. The market is now pricing in a persistent inflationary environment that limits central bank flexibility and pressures consumer spending power.

Oil Shock and Macro Inflation

Escalating tensions in the Middle East have triggered a sharp rally in crude oil, with Brent crude climbing above $104 per barrell. This energy shock is feeding directly into inflation expectations, causing UK 10-year borrowing costs to spike to a 19-year high and forcing Wall Street and European indices lower. The market is now pricing in a persistent inflationary environment that limits central bank flexibility and pressures consumer spending power.

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