WS #15821

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New York Fed President John Williams has indicated that the Federal Reserve is likely to implement one more interest rate hike this year, but sees no need for increases in 2027. This guidance supports a 'soft landing' narrative by capping the duration of tight monetary policy. However, BlackRock's shift to overweighting US Treasuries and neutralizing US equities suggests institutional caution, indicating that while the Fed is nearing the end of the hiking cycle, investors are still wary of macroeconomic headwinds and geopolitical risks.

US Macro & Fed Policy Outlook

New York Fed President John Williams has indicated that the Federal Reserve is likely to implement one more interest rate hike this year, but sees no need for increases in 2027. This guidance supports a 'soft landing' narrative by capping the duration of tight monetary policy. However, BlackRock's shift to overweighting US Treasuries and neutralizing US equities suggests institutional caution, indicating that while the Fed is nearing the end of the hiking cycle, investors are still wary of macroeconomic headwinds and geopolitical risks.

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