WS #5848
The dominant signal in this window is Google's planned up to $40B investment in Anthropic, reported by Bloomberg and corroborated across multiple sources. This is a massive AI capex commitment that reinforces the AI infrastructure buildout thesis. Separately, the DOJ dropping its probe into Fed Chair Jerome Powell clears the path for crypto-friendly Kevin Warsh to lead the Fed, which could signal a shift toward rate cuts and crypto-friendly regulation. The S&P 500 hitting a new all-time high and NVDA crossing $5T market cap are notable but likely continuations of existing trends. Intel's Q1 beat and JP Morgan's price target raise contrast with the broader AI pivot narrative. The Israel-Lebanon ceasefire extension by three weeks, announced by the US, is a de-escalation signal that could ease geopolitical risk premium in oil markets. The UK easing airline penalties due to jet fuel shortages is a developing supply chain issue. Euro-zone inflation jumped to the highest in 2.5 years due to Iran war fallout, which could pressure ECB policy. Bolivia running out of fuel again challenges the new government. Pakistan buys LNG from spot market for first time in two years to ease energy crunch. Meta goes all-in on Amazon's Graviton chips, boosting AMZN. Regeneron strikes deal with Trump administration to cut drug prices, which could pressure biotech sector pricing. Jane Street posted record $39.6B trading revenue, potentially drawing regulatory scrutiny. The Ethereum Foundation sold nearly $24M of ETH to Tom Lee's Bitmine, a notable insider sale. AWS Marketplace adds Chainlink data standards, enabling institutional blockchain integration. DJI unveiled a cargo drone capable of carrying 1,300 lbs, signaling drone logistics advancement. Wisconsin DOJ sues Kalshi, Robinhood, Polymarket, Coinbase, Crypto.com over sports betting, a regulatory headwind for crypto/gambling platforms. Trump sending Witkoff & Kushner to Pakistan for talks with Iranian foreign minister is a diplomatic development that could de-escalate Iran tensions. Netanyahu reveals he had prostate cancer and underwent radiation therapy, a health risk for a key geopolitical figure. The Avis Budget short squeeze collapse (70% crash) marks the quick end to a speculative mania. Tesla's Elon Musk admitted lying about self-driving cars in disastrous earnings call, a bearish signal for TSLA. The S&P 500 new ATH and NVDA crossing $5T are continuations of existing trends.
Key developments
- Google plans up to $40B investment in Anthropic at $350B valuation
- DOJ drops probe into Fed Chair Powell, paving way for crypto-friendly Kevin Warsh to lead Fed
- S&P 500 hits new all-time high, up 13.3% since March 30 lows
- Intel Q1 beat: EPS $0.29 vs $0.01 expected, DZ Bank upgrades to Hold
- Euro-zone inflation jumps to 2.5-year high due to Iran war fallout
- Meta goes all-in on Amazon's Graviton chips, boosting AMZN
- Regeneron strikes deal with Trump admin to cut drug prices
- Jane Street posts record $39.6B trading revenue, potentially drawing scrutiny