WS #6018

The dominant signal in this window is the attempted shooting at the White House Correspondents' Dinner, with multiple sources (BBC, GDELT, social media) confirming the suspect targeted Trump and officials. The suspect's manifesto and anti-Christian motive are detailed, but the incident appears contained with no direct market impact yet. However, the geopolitical landscape remains tense: Israel issued evacuation orders for southern Lebanon, and US-Iran talks broke down, with Iran shifting to yuan-based oil trade, potentially undermining the petrodollar. The Fed's next chair nomination (Kevin Warsh) gains key support, signaling a potential policy shift. A key market events preview highlights a heavy central bank week (FOMC, ECB, BoE, BoJ) and Q1 GDP data, which could drive volatility. The Israel-Lebanon ceasefire collapse and Iran war paradox analysis suggest ongoing geopolitical risk, but no immediate market-moving catalyst beyond the shooting's psychological impact.