WS #9813

The dominant signal in this window is the confirmed US-Iran peace deal, which has been corroborated by multiple high-credibility sources including Bloomberg, NBC, BBC, Al Jazeera, and official statements from President Trump and Pakistan's Prime Minister. The deal includes an immediate and permanent ceasefire on all fronts (including Lebanon), the opening of the Strait of Hormuz, and the removal of the US naval blockade. Oil prices have already fallen 3-4% in response, with Brent at $87.33 and WTI at $84.88. The dollar slipped 0.2% against the yen and the Australian dollar gained 0.5%. S&P 500 futures jumped 0.7% and Nasdaq futures rose 1.1%. The official signing is scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland. This development is a massive de-escalation of the dominant geopolitical risk that has been driving markets for months, and it counters the prevailing bearish thesis on energy, inflation, and global trade disruption. The narrative arc is clearly DE-ESCALATING, with the peace deal now confirmed after weeks of negotiations. No contradictory signals were detected in this window.