WS #9075

From 500 msgs · 7 key-dev

No genuinely new material developments detected in the last 30 minutes. The dominant risk-off narrative from the previous window remains unchanged, with no counter-signals or de-escalation events to report.

Key developments

  • Fed rate hike odds jump to 52% after blowout jobs report; stocks and bonds fall
  • Bitcoin breaks below $60,000 for first time since October 2024; memecoins dive 9%
  • Strait of Hormuz traffic near zero as peace talks stall; Iran inflation hits WWII high
  • Broadcom (AVGO) down $100 in two days after disappointing guidance
  • S&P rejects fast entry for SpaceX, delaying $14B in passive inflows
  • Nvidia CEO summoned over China chip sales, adding regulatory risk
  • Reid Hoffman leaving Microsoft board after almost a decade